First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1001 | 57% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 992 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1001 | 57% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 955 | 70% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1218 | 30% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1140 | 44% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1051 | 1085 | 45% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 1140 | 36% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1043 | 64% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1187 | 19% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1108 | 55% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 966 | 69% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 974 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1012 | 51% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 865 | 988 | 33% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 952 | 54% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 915 | 915 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2009-04-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1127 | 45% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1286 | 40% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 992 | 52% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1233 | 27% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 891 | 1070 | 26% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1218 | 30% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1065.5 has a 46.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).