First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1234 | 944 | 84% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1221 | 31% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1062 | 37% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 858 | 1128 | 17% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1080 | 51% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1140 | 58% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1192 | 19% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1162 | 44% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 990 | 65% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 974 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 852 | 996 | 30% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1313 | 1285 | 54% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 987 | 1015 | 46% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1118 | 21% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1221 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1078.8 has a 45.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).