Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (10 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
1198 | 1135 | 59% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
1037 | 954 | 62% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
1095 | 956 | 69% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
1108 | 973 | 69% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
971 | 987 | 48% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
984 | 989 | 49% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
1062 | 1227 | 28% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
1091 | 1063 | 54% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1033.5 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).