Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (11 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2023-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1118 | 52% | 2018-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2018-07-22 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 964 | 72% | 2014-04-23 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2011-04-02 | | Lost |
| 971 | 907 | 59% | 2010-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-01-02 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1233 | 41% | 2009-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1078 | 46% | 2008-10-01 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1046.4 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).