Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1107 | 52% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1150 | 47% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 977 | 59% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1162 | 968 | 75% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1118 | 974 | 70% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 1060 | 39% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1072 | 1228 | 29% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1037 | 55% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1029.9 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).