The Central Railway Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
887 | 873 | 52% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
932 | 1219 | 16% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-11-01 | Tied |
979 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-12-14 | Won |
1039 | 1002 | 55% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
909 | 1037 | 32% | 2012-05-01 | Lost |
938 | 982 | 44% | 2011-10-01 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
1121 | 1309 | 25% | 2008-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 1058.9 has a 41.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).