Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1054 | 44% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1010 | 54% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1086 | 40% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1207 | 927 | 83% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 994 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 1066 | 49% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1064.6 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).