Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 958 | 1035 | 39% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 932 | 61% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1094 | 61% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1011 | 1072 | 41% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1018 | 65% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 980 | 56% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1151 | 35% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1226 | 16% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1102 | 57% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1154 | 48% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1077.7 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).