Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 997 | 52% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1083 | 63% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1011 | 1057 | 43% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1021 | 63% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 980 | 56% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1144 | 37% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1282 | 12% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1194 | 44% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1103 | 1117 | 48% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1196 | 1193 | 50% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1136 | 52% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1086.1 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).