Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1079 | 28% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1075 | 62% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1115 | 36% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1034 | 64% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 997 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1065 | 48% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1203 | 43% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1138 | 52% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 1092.9 has a 46.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).