Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1079 | 31% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 988 | 54% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 941 | 1044 | 36% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 996 | 1098 | 36% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1048 | 63% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1016 | 51% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1065 | 48% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1192 | 19% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1194 | 44% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1137 | 52% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1075.1 has a 46.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).