Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1084 | 46% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 928 | 920 | 51% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1094 | 950 | 70% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 1116 | 49% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 952 | 48% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1141 | 43% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1116 | 50% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1083.5 has a 44.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).