Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1084 | 37% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 872 | 984 | 34% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 952 | 914 | 55% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1021 | 61% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1225 | 23% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 893 | 57% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1236 | 31% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1021 | 63% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1140 | 43% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1078.7 has a 43.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).