Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-06-16 | | Lost |
| 979 | 960 | 53% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 933 | 872 | 59% | 2021-12-17 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1007 | 63% | 2021-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1298 | 26% | 2017-10-08 | | Lost |
| 940 | 904 | 55% | 2012-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2010-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2010-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-12-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1141 | 42% | 2009-10-06 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1150 | 35% | 2008-11-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1055.8 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).