Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 890 | 1024 | 32% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 904 | 62% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 967 | 69% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1220 | 18% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 884 | 58% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1208 | 34% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 967 | 70% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1141 | 42% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1062.8 has a 45.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).