The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (10 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1234 | 35% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 908 | 984 | 39% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1208 | 18% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1343 | 19% | 2009-01-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1085 | 1201 | 34% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1173.5 has a 29.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).