The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (11 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1202 | 29% | 2026-05-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1102 | 1118 | 48% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 910 | 969 | 42% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1180 | 20% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1344 | 19% | 2009-01-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1206 | 30% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1167 | 1200 | 45% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1159.5 has a 31.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).