The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (6 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
804 | 1175 | 11% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
983 | 1041 | 42% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
939 | 1197 | 18% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
1062 | 1152 | 37% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 957.3 vs 1105.3 has a 29.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).