The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1236 | 38% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1173 | 46% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 875 | 1235 | 11% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 906 | 937 | 46% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 1157 | 1114 | 56% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1078 | 31% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1248 | 22% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1072 | 912 | 72% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1124 | 1071 | 58% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1111.6 has a 40.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).