Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 235 (54 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 112
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1060 | 53% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1274 | 999 | 83% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1007 | 60% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1139 | 54% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1177 | 1035 | 69% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 1249 | 20% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 1007 | 57% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 1096 | 56% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1054 | 39% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1129 | 1180 | 43% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1234 | 28% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1036 | 56% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 1008 | 54% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1055 | 56% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1274 | 1167 | 65% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1054 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1101 | 41% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1081 | 52% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1107 | 1116 | 49% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 889 | 72% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1184 | 1088 | 63% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1176 | 19% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1176 | 29% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1132 | 45% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 971 | 61% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1084 | 41% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1294 | 1180 | 66% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 889 | 1045 | 29% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1086 | 87% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1086 | 34% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1054 | 52% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1149 | 49% | 2008-08-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1080.5 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).