Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 234 (53 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 111
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1063 | 52% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1333 | 999 | 87% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1137 | 58% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1153 | 1032 | 67% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1135 | 896 | 80% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1215 | 26% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 1038 | 45% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1135 | 52% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1002 | 47% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1233 | 28% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1035 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1008 | 55% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1126 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1054 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1333 | 1167 | 72% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1002 | 1169 | 28% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 1100 | 41% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1089 | 51% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1113 | 49% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 875 | 70% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1100 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1143 | 22% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1143 | 33% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1100 | 55% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1056 | 48% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1133 | 39% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 960 | 62% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1099 | 39% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1143 | 65% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 890 | 1051 | 28% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1086 | 87% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 976 | 54% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 976 | 54% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 961 | 1050 | 37% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 805 | 1011 | 23% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1150 | 50% | 2008-08-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1186 | 27% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1104 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1064.4 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).