Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 234 (53 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 111
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1063 | 56% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1329 | 999 | 87% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1137 | 53% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1200 | 1032 | 72% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1143 | 32% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 985 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1028 | 43% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1233 | 26% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1034 | 51% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1007 | 55% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1329 | 1168 | 72% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1028 | 1170 | 31% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 1100 | 39% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1044 | 58% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1112 | 49% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 845 | 950 | 35% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1163 | 51% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1154 | 21% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1154 | 31% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1163 | 43% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1133 | 37% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 919 | 68% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1100 | 39% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 890 | 1052 | 28% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1087 | 87% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 987 | 56% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 987 | 56% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 960 | 1118 | 29% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1028 | 56% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1153 | 50% | 2008-08-29 | Won |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1073.3 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).