Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 236 (55 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 113
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1060 | 51% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1252 | 999 | 81% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1007 | 60% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1139 | 48% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1344 | 1136 | 77% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1035 | 69% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1131 | 45% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1232 | 37% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 1264 | 19% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 1007 | 53% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 1081 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 1096 | 56% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1234 | 28% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1036 | 56% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 1008 | 54% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1013 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1055 | 48% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1252 | 1167 | 62% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1171 | 31% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1101 | 40% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1080 | 53% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1107 | 1115 | 49% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 1017 | 913 | 65% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1184 | 1110 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1189 | 17% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1189 | 27% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1110 | 57% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1133 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 969 | 61% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1095 | 43% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1173 | 68% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1424 | 1086 | 87% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1006 | 54% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1006 | 54% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 970 | 1059 | 37% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1015 | 61% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1031 | 55% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1149 | 49% | 2008-08-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1232 | 26% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1079.5 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).