After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (6 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian ): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1060 | 65% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 1023 | 59% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 867 | 1056 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1054 | 986 | 60% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1037.8 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).