After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian ): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1249 | 1294 | 44% | 2025-12-12 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1068 | 64% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1011 | 63% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 867 | 1053 | 26% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1054 | 976 | 61% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 1140 | 1170 | 46% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.4 vs 1074.6 has a 51.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).