The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 308 (79 on the archive and 229 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 130
Defender wins (Russian): 178
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 848 | 1065 | 22% | 2026-04-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 848 | 78% | 2026-03-27 | Won |
| 1153 | 1076 | 61% | 2026-03-17 | Won |
| 984 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1078 | 46% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1161 | 32% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1105 | 48% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1006 | 44% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 983 | 1172 | 25% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1073 | 37% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1216 | 21% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 987 | 56% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 951 | 73% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 942 | 968 | 46% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 1107 | 28% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 951 | 59% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1084 | 1098 | 48% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1216 | 21% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 983 | 79% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1029 | 55% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1165 | 1094 | 60% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1057 | 42% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1048 | 49% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 897 | 952 | 42% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1156 | 31% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1050 | 1146 | 37% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1075 | 59% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1013 | 61% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 973 | 961 | 52% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1053 | 45% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1094 | 49% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1175 | 1062 | 66% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 993 | 52% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1224 | 56% | 2009-10-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1119 | 45% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1141 | 56% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1127 | 43% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 984 | 50% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 976 | 57% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1099 | 41% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1060 | 49% | 2009-05-30 | Won |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1175 | 1186 | 48% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 1156 | 1251 | 37% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2009-04-13 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1094 | 52% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 939 | 72% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1286 | 1219 | 60% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1167 | 23% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1023 | 60% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1096 | 40% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1127 | 56% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1048 | 49% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1109 | 52% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1055.1 has a 48.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).