The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 296 (74 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 155
Defender wins (Russian): 141
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1074 | 48% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1091 | 55% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 898 | 1007 | 35% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1024 | 1173 | 30% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1024 | 63% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1040 | 41% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 1073 | 56% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1217 | 21% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 931 | 74% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 926 | 968 | 44% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 1109 | 28% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 931 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1010 | 56% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1029 | 1101 | 40% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1024 | 1216 | 25% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1024 | 75% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1072 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1144 | 1091 | 58% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1043 | 44% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1065 | 39% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1059 | 55% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 896 | 1065 | 27% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 939 | 57% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1058 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1024 | 63% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1113 | 37% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1018 | 49% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 968 | 969 | 50% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1055 | 45% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1073 | 52% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1206 | 1061 | 70% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 987 | 898 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1050 | 47% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1020 | 50% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 950 | 55% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 968 | 59% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1098 | 41% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1037 | 53% | 2009-05-30 | Won |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1206 | 1172 | 55% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 939 | 1249 | 14% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1073 | 54% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 939 | 72% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1083 | 33% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1031 | 59% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1096 | 41% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1111 | 46% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1059 | 47% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1206 | 27% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1174 | 43% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1053 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).