The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 296 (74 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 155
Defender wins (Russian): 141
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 941 | 61% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 941 | 864 | 61% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1064 | 61% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1159 | 36% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1091 | 67% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 1007 | 39% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1192 | 1114 | 61% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1192 | 38% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1040 | 41% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1114 | 1050 | 59% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1004 | 1219 | 22% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 987 | 49% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1111 | 951 | 72% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 925 | 968 | 44% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 1108 | 28% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 951 | 59% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1192 | 1215 | 47% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1192 | 53% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1102 | 45% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1092 | 57% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1043 | 44% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1074 | 1226 | 29% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 878 | 986 | 35% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 1021 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1065 | 48% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1058 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1109 | 1192 | 38% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1004 | 53% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 970 | 967 | 50% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1055 | 44% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1050 | 55% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1196 | 1055 | 69% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 963 | 993 | 46% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 987 | 898 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1054 | 50% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1152 | 54% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 950 | 55% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 968 | 59% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1099 | 41% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1014 | 56% | 2009-05-30 | Won |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1196 | 1172 | 53% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1251 | 21% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1050 | 60% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 939 | 72% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1075 | 34% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1030 | 59% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1096 | 41% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1110 | 45% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1059 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).