Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 829 | 1189 | 11% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1215 | 764 | 93% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1069 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 764 | 1032 | 18% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 920 | 63% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1110 | 1036 | 60% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 993 | 873 | 67% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1329 | 16% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 938 | 72% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1163 | 1090 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1163 | 43% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1136 | 37% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1073 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).