Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 824 | 1184 | 11% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1164 | 970 | 75% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 991 | 79% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1069 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 991 | 1032 | 44% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 994 | 920 | 60% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 994 | 879 | 66% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1252 | 24% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 923 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1089 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1095.4 vs 1058.3 has a 55.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).