Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 868 | 79% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 913 | 1044 | 32% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1023 | 51% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1208 | 45% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1195 | 978 | 78% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1242 | 1239 | 50% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 945 | 55% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1208 | 45% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1069 | 54% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 906 | 1034 | 32% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 920 | 65% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1078 | 1065 | 52% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 997 | 862 | 69% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1242 | 25% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1091 | 52% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1106 | 56% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 906 | 1102 | 24% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1136 | 46% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1050.7 has a 54.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).