Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 20
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1113 | 55% | 2024-06-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1097 | 1048 | 57% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1039 | 56% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-04-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 980 | 45% | 2018-12-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1038 | 48% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1091 | 46% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2009-12-03 | Won |
| 979 | 1109 | 32% | 2009-12-02 | Won |
| 1060 | 984 | 61% | 2009-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1038.4 has a 53.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).