The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 929 | 983 | 42% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 943 | 1090 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 989 | 987 | 50% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 952 | 70% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1162 | 1157 | 51% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 1085 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 962 | 1038 | 39% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1016 | 1158 | 31% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 993 | 55% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 1002 | 50% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1027 | 47% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1290 | 19% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1219 | 29% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1061 | 956 | 65% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1040 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 949 | 1017 | 40% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 882 | 949 | 40% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1050.5 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).