The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 2026-04-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 909 | 983 | 40% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 948 | 1093 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 985 | 57% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1121 | 951 | 73% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1163 | 1123 | 56% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1079 | 1059 | 53% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1087 | 56% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 993 | 56% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 748 | 1002 | 19% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1242 | 24% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 958 | 65% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1028 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 955 | 57% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 882 | 1002 | 33% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2005-05-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2005-05-21 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1037.6 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).