The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (28 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-04-27 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-10-27 | | Lost |
| 943 | 983 | 44% | 2020-03-21 | | Tied |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-05-12 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-02-23 | | Won |
| 1152 | 952 | 76% | 2018-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2018-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1029 | 57% | 2015-10-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-01-30 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-12-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2013-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1085 | 47% | 2013-09-30 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2010-07-10 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2010-05-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2009-04-25 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-05-22 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2004-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1024.4 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).