Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (21 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2026-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2026-01-30 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1150 | 57% | 2025-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2025-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2024-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1091 | 39% | 2018-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-05-08 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1134 | 28% | 2016-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1219 | 49% | 2013-08-30 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1126 | 37% | 2013-07-10 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 921 | 68% | 2013-04-14 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-04-04 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-08-24 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-03-28 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2009-06-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1045.3 has a 48.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).