Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1194 | 51% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1123 | 55% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1042 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1066 | 44% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1120 | 36% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 962 | 1138 | 27% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 950 | 65% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1215 | 1340 | 33% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1125 | 37% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1042 | 894 | 70% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1123 | 45% | 2013-04-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 965 | 64% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1081 | 43% | 2010-03-28 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2009-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1074.4 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).