Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 969 | 71% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 871 | 1015 | 30% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 1056 | 43% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1228 | 27% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1071 | 1194 | 33% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1099 | 34% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1073.7 has a 42.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).