Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1051 | 45% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1139 | 22% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1098 | 56% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1106.3 has a 37.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).