Carstens' Lament
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1360 | 974 | 90% | 2022-12-27 | Won |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2018-05-02 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1032.3 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).