The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Norwegian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2026-04-06 | Won |
| 1430 | 1346 | 62% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 1043 | 44% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1003 | 1131 | 32% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1118.5 vs 1139.8 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).