ASL Scenario Archive

Failure to Communicate

Games with no balance used/recorded: 45

Attacker wins (German): 26

Defender wins (French): 19

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
756	1134	10%	2025-07-11	Lost
1056	910	70%	2025-06-20	Lost
962	975	48%	2025-04-13	Won
1180	1143	55%	2024-01-06	Won
997	1046	43%	2022-08-17	Lost
1243	971	83%	2022-04-24	Lost
1135	1069	59%	2021-08-14	Won
885	1135	19%	2021-07-25	Won
1151	1128	53%	2021-01-16	Lost
884	904	47%	2020-10-31	Won
1035	1112	39%	2020-08-11	Won
1234	1081	71%	2020-07-25	Won
1249	1206	56%	2020-07-17	Won
979	1102	33%	2020-07-10	Lost
1058	1081	47%	2020-03-27	Won
1191	1217	46%	2020-02-03	Won
1177	1217	44%	2020-02-03	Won
1103	903	76%	2018-12-28	Won
1081	1046	55%	2018-07-06	Lost
976	976	50%	2018-01-23	Won
1088	972	66%	2017-11-04	Won
961	1140	26%	2017-11-04	Lost
1088	1157	40%	2017-09-30	Won
1084	987	64%	2017-04-12	Won
1072	966	65%	2016-12-17	Won
1059	982	61%	2016-07-19	Lost
980	1176	24%	2015-07-03	Lost
1226	1174	57%	2015-01-22	Won
1036	1116	39%	2014-11-10	Won
1020	1038	47%	2014-08-05	Lost
1080	1226	30%	2013-10-23	Lost
1091	983	65%	2013-03-09	Lost
1051	903	70%	2012-05-15	Won
1140	733	91%	2012-05-10	Won
1081	1189	35%	2011-11-19	Lost
1054	934	67%	2011-11-01	Won
1144	1054	63%	2011-02-02	Won
982	952	54%	2010-09-13	Lost
973	1098	33%	2010-05-30	Lost
1095	1109	48%	2010-05-30	Won
1214	1068	70%	2010-05-07	Won
952	984	45%	2010-04-16	Won
1023	1123	36%	2010-03-05	Lost
1055	1123	40%	2010-03-05	Lost
1211	1027	74%	2010-01-16	Lost

Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1068.7 vs 1057.1 has a 51.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).