ASL Scenario Archive

Failure to Communicate

Games with no balance used/recorded: 44

Attacker wins (German): 25

Defender wins (French): 19

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
756	1111	11%	2025-07-11	Lost
1000	878	67%	2025-06-20	Lost
941	941	50%	2025-04-13	Won
1163	1138	54%	2024-01-06	Won
1008	1034	46%	2022-08-17	Lost
1243	1032	77%	2022-04-24	Lost
1135	1059	61%	2021-08-14	Won
885	1135	19%	2021-07-25	Won
1151	1127	53%	2021-01-16	Lost
886	917	46%	2020-10-31	Won
1034	1112	39%	2020-08-11	Won
1233	1089	70%	2020-07-25	Won
980	1103	33%	2020-07-10	Lost
1058	1082	47%	2020-03-27	Won
1191	1218	46%	2020-02-03	Won
1203	1218	48%	2020-02-03	Won
1107	885	78%	2018-12-28	Won
1082	1046	55%	2018-07-06	Lost
976	976	50%	2018-01-23	Won
1100	978	67%	2017-11-04	Won
961	1152	25%	2017-11-04	Lost
1100	1136	45%	2017-09-30	Won
1098	977	67%	2017-04-12	Won
1088	966	67%	2016-12-17	Won
1059	982	61%	2016-07-19	Lost
976	1143	28%	2015-07-03	Lost
1226	1174	57%	2015-01-22	Won
1035	1105	40%	2014-11-10	Won
1017	1035	47%	2014-08-05	Lost
1080	1226	30%	2013-10-23	Lost
1091	983	65%	2013-03-09	Lost
1051	885	72%	2012-05-15	Won
1152	713	93%	2012-05-10	Won
1089	1202	34%	2011-11-19	Lost
1003	943	59%	2011-11-01	Won
1147	1003	70%	2011-02-02	Won
982	968	52%	2010-09-13	Lost
968	1078	35%	2010-05-30	Lost
1122	1083	56%	2010-05-30	Won
1216	1048	72%	2010-05-07	Won
968	968	50%	2010-04-16	Won
1022	1122	36%	2010-03-05	Lost
1058	1122	41%	2010-03-05	Lost
1207	1029	74%	2010-01-16	Lost

Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1048.2 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).