Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 984 | 46% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1191 | 49% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1220 | 28% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1085 | 57% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 955 | 1120 | 28% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 948 | 1005 | 42% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 1036 | 47% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1022 | 968 | 58% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1131 | 33% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1076 | 45% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1299 | 39% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
| 975 | 997 | 47% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1068 | 54% | 2014-09-03 | Won |
| 972 | 999 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1131 | 33% | 2014-03-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1134 | 29% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2013-05-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 984 | 971 | 52% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 964 | 85% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1136 | 38% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 950 | 997 | 43% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1056.4 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).