Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2025-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-07-28 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1065 | 35% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2023-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1170 | 36% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1183 | 43% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 955 | 1120 | 28% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 965 | 1027 | 41% | 2021-08-14 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 968 | 60% | 2020-11-29 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-05-31 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2020-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1124 | 1068 | 58% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2018-06-30 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-09-03 | | Won |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2013-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2012-05-25 | | Won |
| 1065 | 971 | 63% | 2012-05-19 | | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2011-01-23 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1022 | 76% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2010-05-08 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1049.9 has a 47.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).