The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1019 | 52% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1057 | 69% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 1057 | 62% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 949 | 902 | 57% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1050 | 974 | 61% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2018-04-16 | Won |
| 938 | 1014 | 39% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 902 | 1102 | 24% | 2010-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1033.5 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).