The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 1023 | 32% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 953 | 68% | 2025-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1019 | 50% | 2025-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1039 | 60% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1014 | 64% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-04-16 | | Won |
| 979 | 999 | 47% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1242 | 24% | 2012-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2010-09-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.9 vs 1050.8 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).