Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 174 (50 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 87
Defender wins (American): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1142 | 39% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1256 | 45% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1027 | 69% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1065 | 27% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1015 | 54% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 1008 | 42% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 741 | 77% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1051 | 985 | 59% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 983 | 59% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 927 | 971 | 44% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1123 | 33% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1256 | 19% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 1151 | 42% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 827 | 90% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 997 | 1065 | 40% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1151 | 45% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 889 | 916 | 46% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1131 | 741 | 90% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 1145 | 37% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 960 | 1203 | 20% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1089 | 47% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1333 | 1100 | 79% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1100 | 79% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 765 | 72% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1210 | 1096 | 66% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 889 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1075 | 1063 | 52% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 916 | 1177 | 18% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1194 | 1152 | 56% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1020 | 56% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1125 | 1106 | 53% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 921 | 1050 | 32% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1047.4 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).