Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 174 (50 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 87
Defender wins (American): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1144 | 39% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 995 | 54% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1249 | 45% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1017 | 76% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1079 | 25% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1015 | 49% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 1008 | 39% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 1010 | 41% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 985 | 56% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 1086 | 53% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 1040 | 983 | 58% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 898 | 971 | 40% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1091 | 37% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 995 | 1249 | 19% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 1110 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 825 | 85% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 997 | 1078 | 39% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1110 | 54% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 889 | 1020 | 32% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1216 | 1140 | 61% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1010 | 64% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1145 | 34% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 962 | 1123 | 28% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1074 | 51% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1340 | 1071 | 82% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1071 | 82% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 898 | 766 | 68% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1193 | 1096 | 64% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 889 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1083 | 1063 | 53% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1020 | 1193 | 27% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1194 | 1151 | 56% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1123 | 1020 | 64% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1206 | 27% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1223 | 1122 | 64% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 921 | 1073 | 29% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1057.3 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).