Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (49 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 90
Defender wins (American): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 1232 | 47% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1018 | 52% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1141 | 32% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1001 | 70% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 895 | 1025 | 32% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1130 | 28% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 991 | 1069 | 39% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 1008 | 37% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 986 | 61% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1085 | 51% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 924 | 1009 | 38% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 980 | 971 | 51% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1032 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 875 | 1126 | 19% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1232 | 23% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1218 | 842 | 90% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 989 | 1039 | 43% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1136 | 51% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 950 | 41% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1216 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1061 | 69% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1061 | 1133 | 40% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 975 | 1218 | 20% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1090 | 43% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1309 | 1091 | 78% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1091 | 78% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 765 | 78% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1040 | 64% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1266 | 1077 | 75% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 950 | 1173 | 22% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1065 | 42% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1061 | 1018 | 56% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 1209 | 21% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1110 | 46% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 920 | 1097 | 27% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1060.2 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).