Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (49 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 90
Defender wins (American): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1257 | 45% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1017 | 49% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1141 | 36% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1027 | 68% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1014 | 33% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1129 | 28% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1055 | 45% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 903 | 1008 | 35% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 985 | 65% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1085 | 51% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 952 | 971 | 47% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1032 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1116 | 30% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1257 | 20% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 1154 | 46% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 842 | 90% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1154 | 50% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 920 | 45% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1236 | 1139 | 64% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1089 | 1145 | 42% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1084 | 79% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1084 | 79% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 765 | 75% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1040 | 64% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1264 | 1077 | 75% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 920 | 1175 | 19% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1065 | 45% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1064 | 1018 | 57% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 920 | 1140 | 22% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1058.2 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).