Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (19 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1073 | 53% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 983 | 34% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1158 | 45% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 1101 | 33% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1283 | 1318 | 45% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1056 | 48% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2017-02-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-05 | Tied |
| 987 | 1036 | 43% | 2016-01-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1038 | 54% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1200 | 947 | 81% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1048 | 90% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 930 | 69% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1248 | 1185 | 59% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1252 | 22% | 2011-01-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 987 | 55% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1081 | 1170 | 37% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2010-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1093.9 vs 1040.3 has a 57.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).