Beaufort's Feast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14  
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 9
          Scenario Balance Over Time
  
  
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome | 
|---|
| 1241 | 1292 | 43% | 2021-06-14 | Lost | 
| 1065 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Won | 
| 1005 | 967 | 55% | 2016-05-21 | Won | 
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2016-05-17 | Lost | 
| 1133 | 1102 | 54% | 2015-08-13 | Lost | 
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2015-03-28 | Won | 
| 1060 | 1226 | 28% | 2014-10-10 | Lost | 
| 1024 | 1051 | 46% | 2014-01-18 | Lost | 
| 1098 | 1139 | 44% | 2012-06-29 | Lost | 
| 1007 | 1152 | 30% | 2012-04-14 | Lost | 
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2011-02-21 | Lost | 
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-02-21 | Lost | 
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2010-12-28 | Won | 
| 1089 | 1293 | 24% | 2010-10-10 | Won | 
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.5 vs 1103.1 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).