Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Dutch): 30
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 998 | 1133 | 31% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1220 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 1127 | 32% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
| 967 | 1037 | 40% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1131 | 930 | 76% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1001 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2011-01-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 1234 | 41% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 1182 | 33% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1040 | 37% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1101.9 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).