Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Dutch): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1166 | 28% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1050 | 27% | 2025-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1248 | 1254 | 49% | 2024-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1185 | 33% | 2024-05-15 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-05-12 | D | Won |
| 1059 | 1248 | 25% | 2024-05-01 | | Lost |
| 856 | 1030 | 27% | 2023-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2019-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-05-29 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1031 | 60% | 2011-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1298 | 15% | 2010-12-27 | | Won |
| 1093 | 1041 | 57% | 2010-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1084.6 has a 44.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).