Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Dutch): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1114 | 28% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1289 | 36% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1122 | 36% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1202 | 31% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 961 | 74% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1001 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2011-01-06 | Won |
| 1169 | 1314 | 30% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1118 | 28% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1113.6 has a 40.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).