Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2025-06-23 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-06 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 943 | 1016 | 40% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 912 | 79% | 2017-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2017-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-05-12 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1075 | 42% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1081 | 1147 | 41% | 2014-01-22 | | Won |
| 1029 | 786 | 80% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2012-03-02 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1098 | 26% | 2012-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-11-11 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1167 | 36% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1034 | 68% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1317 | 1100 | 78% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1069 | 42% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1191 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1054.5 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).