Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2025-06-23 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 912 | 81% | 2017-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2017-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-05-12 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1085 | 42% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2014-01-22 | | Won |
| 1044 | 786 | 82% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2012-03-02 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1078 | 28% | 2012-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-11-11 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1167 | 39% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1034 | 78% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2011-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1317 | 1134 | 74% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1090 | 39% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1201 | 27% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1057.8 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).