Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1070 | 1008 | 59% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 947 | 74% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 961 | 53% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 940 | 81% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1063 | 33% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1219 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1198 | 27% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 806 | 84% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 1039 | 54% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1020 | 889 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1158 | 38% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1116 | 55% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1070 | 1075 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1034 | 66% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 870 | 58% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1007 | 91% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1333 | 30% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 964 | 1070 | 35% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1067.7 has a 47.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).