Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1007 | 56% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1150 | 47% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1010 | 36% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 961 | 53% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1218 | 939 | 83% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 942 | 1026 | 38% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 953 | 1219 | 18% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1192 | 29% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1059 | 45% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1086 | 806 | 83% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1059 | 1083 | 47% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 888 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1039 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1056 | 33% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1015 | 51% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1073 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 1019 | 33% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1113 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1034 | 65% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 870 | 68% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1095 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1412 | 992 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1310 | 33% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1104 | 70% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 949 | 1099 | 30% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1188 | 25% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1060.3 has a 49.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).