Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (36 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 973 | 67% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 986 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1177 | 917 | 82% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1053 | 34% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1217 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1102 | 42% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1098 | 39% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1072 | 786 | 84% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1046 | 57% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 889 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1174 | 39% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1054 | 31% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1116 | 53% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1094 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1034 | 69% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 889 | 869 | 53% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1018 | 91% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1140 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1274 | 37% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1294 | 1180 | 66% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1086 | 38% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1061.1 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).