Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1006 | 56% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 961 | 53% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1248 | 958 | 84% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 942 | 1003 | 41% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 953 | 1219 | 18% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1219 | 26% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1086 | 819 | 82% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1036 | 36% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1031 | 65% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1113 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 870 | 62% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1034 | 65% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1412 | 992 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1186 | 1310 | 33% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1136 | 66% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 949 | 1140 | 25% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1057.3 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).