Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 1097 | 57% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1038 | 44% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1044 | 58% | 2013-08-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1074 | 61% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1010 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1083.5 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).