ASL Scenario Archive

Counterattack at Carentan

Games with no balance used/recorded: 44

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27

Defender wins (American): 17

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
975	975	50%	2025-06-01	Won
996	1252	19%	2025-02-20	Lost
1055	1093	45%	2025-01-17	Won
1013	966	57%	2025-01-17	Won
1020	985	55%	2023-07-07	Lost
1167	1264	36%	2023-05-15	Lost
1055	995	59%	2022-11-26	Lost
924	1148	22%	2022-05-04	Lost
1175	1086	63%	2021-06-26	Won
1220	1164	58%	2020-03-01	Won
1220	1202	53%	2020-03-01	Won
1055	1000	58%	2019-06-09	Won
1025	1025	50%	2019-04-27	Won
960	889	60%	2019-04-15	Won
1033	1211	26%	2019-01-19	Lost
985	1001	48%	2018-11-04	Won
1082	1046	55%	2018-08-12	Won
908	1074	28%	2017-11-18	Lost
999	1202	24%	2017-06-23	Won
1020	1090	40%	2017-01-01	Won
1158	983	73%	2016-02-28	Won
1012	1038	46%	2016-01-31	Lost
1046	1051	49%	2015-08-25	Won
1020	1132	34%	2014-11-22	Lost
1179	1100	61%	2014-05-18	Lost
1103	1075	54%	2014-01-19	Won
1023	1020	50%	2013-10-16	Lost
985	1054	40%	2013-09-07	Lost
1113	1153	44%	2013-06-13	Won
1100	870	79%	2012-10-14	Lost
1093	1060	55%	2012-07-25	Won
1013	1013	50%	2012-04-01	Won
958	1039	39%	2011-10-08	Lost
1313	1169	70%	2011-08-17	Won
1313	1169	70%	2011-08-17	Won
1001	1029	46%	2011-06-28	Won
1148	704	93%	2011-04-05	Won
1206	1099	65%	2011-04-03	Lost
1086	1011	61%	2011-03-12	Won
1086	1011	61%	2011-03-12	Won
1020	1077	42%	2011-03-10	Won
1011	866	70%	2011-03-10	Won
1057	979	61%	2011-02-26	Lost
1079	1211	32%		Lost

Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1058.7 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).