Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (47 on the archive and 161 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 109
Defender wins (American): 99
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-09-06 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2025-06-01 | | Won |
| 978 | 1272 | 16% | 2025-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-01-17 | | Won |
| 1080 | 982 | 64% | 2025-01-17 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2023-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1170 | 52% | 2023-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-11-26 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1214 | 14% | 2022-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1064 | 64% | 2021-06-26 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1111 | 65% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1133 | 62% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-06-09 | | Won |
| 1030 | 997 | 55% | 2019-04-27 | | Won |
| 987 | 841 | 70% | 2019-04-15 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1220 | 28% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-04 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1054 | 68% | 2018-11-04 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-08-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1133 | 31% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2017-01-01 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1039 | 53% | 2015-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2014-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1036 | 57% | 2014-01-19 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1055 | 44% | 2013-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2013-06-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2012-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2012-04-01 | | Won |
| 981 | 1056 | 39% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-08-17 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2011-06-28 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2011-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2011-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1078 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-03-10 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2011-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2011-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1220 | 32% | | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1050.6 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).