ASL Scenario Archive

Counterattack at Carentan

Games with no balance used/recorded: 43

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26

Defender wins (American): 17

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1000	1000	50%	2025-06-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-02-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-01-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-01-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-07-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-05-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-11-26	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-05-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-06-26	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-03-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-03-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-06-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-04-27	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-04-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-01-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-11-04	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-08-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-11-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-06-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-01-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-02-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-01-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-08-25	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-11-22	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-05-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-01-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-10-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2013-09-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2013-06-13	Won
1000	1000	50%	2012-10-14	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-07-25	Won
1000	1000	50%	2012-04-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-10-08	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-08-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-08-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-06-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-04-03	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-03-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-03-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-03-10	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-03-10	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-02-26	Lost
1000	1000	50%		Lost

Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 1000 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).