Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1266 | 19% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1093 | 45% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 966 | 57% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1264 | 37% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 995 | 59% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 1218 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-06-09 | Won |
| 1042 | 1009 | 55% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 960 | 889 | 60% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1209 | 27% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1084 | 1046 | 55% | 2018-08-12 | Won |
| 908 | 1075 | 28% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1088 | 43% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 1038 | 46% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 1041 | 1132 | 37% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1099 | 61% | 2014-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1073 | 52% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 1009 | 1041 | 45% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 1054 | 39% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1157 | 44% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2012-07-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Won |
| 966 | 1043 | 39% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 940 | 1125 | 26% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1010 | 61% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1010 | 61% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1077 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 866 | 70% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 996 | 59% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1209 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1069 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).