Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 950 | 55% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1242 | 21% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1093 | 39% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1079 | 980 | 64% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 950 | 1054 | 35% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1193 | 53% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1015 | 995 | 53% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 895 | 1144 | 19% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1196 | 53% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-06-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 968 | 889 | 61% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1220 | 25% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1023 | 48% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1046 | 55% | 2018-08-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1075 | 28% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 1196 | 24% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 950 | 1090 | 31% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 1035 | 46% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1113 | 28% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1099 | 62% | 2014-05-18 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1029 | 58% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 980 | 950 | 54% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1053 | 50% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1078 | 54% | 2012-07-25 | Won |
| 1203 | 1079 | 67% | 2012-04-01 | Won |
| 981 | 1054 | 40% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1168 | 73% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1340 | 1168 | 73% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1010 | 1035 | 46% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2011-04-05 | Won |
| 1207 | 1073 | 68% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1021 | 59% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1021 | 59% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 866 | 71% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 978 | 55% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1220 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1055.5 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).