Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 891 | 59% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 956 | 985 | 46% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1274 | 19% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1093 | 41% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1044 | 966 | 61% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1242 | 39% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 995 | 55% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 912 | 1154 | 20% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 1200 | 53% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-06-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1025 | 51% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 946 | 866 | 61% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1220 | 25% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 985 | 987 | 50% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1046 | 55% | 2018-08-12 | Won |
| 908 | 1074 | 28% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 1200 | 24% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 891 | 1090 | 24% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1037 | 46% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1099 | 61% | 2014-05-18 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1052 | 55% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 997 | 891 | 65% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1054 | 44% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1060 | 55% | 2012-07-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-04-01 | Won |
| 965 | 1039 | 40% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1169 | 71% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1328 | 1169 | 71% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2011-04-05 | Won |
| 1206 | 1119 | 62% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1011 | 61% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1011 | 61% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1020 | 1077 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 980 | 57% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1220 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1054.9 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).