ASL Scenario Archive

Counterattack at Carentan

Games with no balance used/recorded: 45

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27

Defender wins (American): 18

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
974	1100	33%	2025-09-06	Lost
954	954	50%	2025-06-01	Won
1024	1254	21%	2025-02-20	Lost
1032	1093	41%	2025-01-17	Won
1080	981	64%	2025-01-17	Won
998	1028	46%	2023-07-07	Lost
1201	1216	48%	2023-05-15	Lost
1032	995	55%	2022-11-26	Lost
895	1135	20%	2022-05-04	Lost
1193	1072	67%	2021-06-26	Won
1217	1191	54%	2020-03-01	Won
1217	1189	54%	2020-03-01	Won
1040	1000	56%	2019-06-09	Won
1030	1023	51%	2019-04-27	Won
968	889	61%	2019-04-15	Won
1033	1220	25%	2019-01-19	Lost
1037	1023	52%	2018-11-04	Won
1082	1046	55%	2018-08-12	Won
913	1075	28%	2017-11-18	Lost
999	1189	25%	2017-06-23	Won
1100	1090	51%	2017-01-01	Won
1158	983	73%	2016-02-28	Won
1009	1035	46%	2016-01-31	Lost
1043	1051	49%	2015-08-25	Won
1100	1113	48%	2014-11-22	Lost
1183	1099	62%	2014-05-18	Lost
1086	1029	58%	2014-01-19	Won
980	1100	33%	2013-10-16	Lost
1028	1053	46%	2013-09-07	Lost
1123	1110	52%	2013-06-13	Won
1100	870	79%	2012-10-14	Lost
1109	1078	54%	2012-07-25	Won
1203	1080	67%	2012-04-01	Won
981	1054	40%	2011-10-08	Lost
1340	1168	73%	2011-08-17	Won
1340	1168	73%	2011-08-17	Won
1010	1035	46%	2011-06-28	Won
1151	713	93%	2011-04-05	Won
1207	1073	68%	2011-04-03	Lost
1086	1011	61%	2011-03-12	Won
1086	1011	61%	2011-03-12	Won
1020	1078	42%	2011-03-10	Won
1011	866	70%	2011-03-10	Won
1010	979	54%	2011-02-26	Lost
1117	1220	36%		Lost

Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1077.8 vs 1060.9 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).