Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (9 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (French): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1076 | 45% | 2026-07-22 | | Lost |
| 841 | 1000 | 29% | 2023-05-11 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-07-14 | | Won |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-11-07 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2014-03-13 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2014-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2011-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-01-13 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1040.3 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).