Shopino Struggle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2014-08-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-05-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 895 | 49% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1072 | 888 | 74% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1074 | 48% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1072 | 64% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 979 | 1118 | 31% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 840 | 71% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 877 | 1152 | 17% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-07-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 990 | 71% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1058.2 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).