Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 992 | 62% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1079 | 992 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 879 | 1067 | 25% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1018 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1102 | 956 | 70% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1035.9 has a 56.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).