Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 954 | 86% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 879 | 979 | 36% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1173 | 41% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 980 | 57% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1024 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1027.1 has a 56.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).