Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1249 | 959 | 84% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1180 | 40% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1054 | 993 | 59% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1023 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1103 | 903 | 76% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1077.8 vs 1026.6 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).