Breaking the Ishun Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (9 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-04-21 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 959 | 1063 | 35% | 2015-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1344 | 12% | 2012-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2011-08-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1059.3 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).