Death Rattle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (24 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-11-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1156 | 32% | 2024-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-02-23 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2023-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2022-09-03 | | Won |
| 996 | 989 | 51% | 2022-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2022-02-27 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2020-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-02-08 | | Won |
| 1053 | 861 | 75% | 2020-01-17 | | Won |
| 992 | 925 | 60% | 2019-07-21 | | Won |
| 1031 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1034 | 54% | 2015-10-05 | | Won |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2015-01-30 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2015-01-30 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2013-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2011-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1029.3 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).