Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1156 | 959 | 76% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1313 | 13% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 1156 | 27% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 980 | 71% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1132 | 29% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1057 | 69% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1164 | 912 | 81% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1060 | 37% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1072 | 1100 | 46% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1071.8 vs 1065.5 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).