Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1126 | 970 | 71% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1219 | 21% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1029 | 66% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1033 | 58% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1202 | 848 | 88% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1344 | 987 | 89% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1146 | 26% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1167 | 1126 | 56% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1086.1 vs 1049.8 has a 55.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).