Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 1052 | 15% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1067 | 46% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1159 | 1108 | 57% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1217 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1021 | 1131 | 35% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1251 | 40% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1056 | 1241 | 26% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1110.3 has a 42.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).