Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 706 | 1057 | 12% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1067 | 51% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1076 | 1108 | 45% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 1216 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1143 | 36% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1239 | 41% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1095 | 39% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.9 vs 1112.1 has a 41.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).