Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 1052 | 58% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
1050 | 1284 | 21% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
1176 | 1307 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1127.1 has a 40.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).