Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 806 | 809 | 50% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1051 | 57% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1204 | 1117 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1044 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 903 | 1097 | 25% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1309 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 975 | 1209 | 21% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1113.3 has a 41.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).