A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 928 | 53% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1060 | 47% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 818 | 806 | 52% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1132 | 1044 | 62% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1097 | 980 | 66% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1309 | 15% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1061 | 71% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1136 | 30% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1018 | 56% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 983 | 68% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1309 | 32% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1056.5 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).