A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1025 | 45% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1109 | 42% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1027 | 755 | 83% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1054 | 64% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1086 | 903 | 74% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1274 | 18% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1186 | 985 | 76% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 962 | 1086 | 33% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1090 | 34% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1019 | 64% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1274 | 37% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1043 has a 56.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).