BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Polish): 2
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-10-03 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2012-02-17 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2012-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 2011-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1343 | 16% | 2011-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1183 | 29% | 2011-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 940 | 60% | 2011-09-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1067.9 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).