BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (9 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1083 | 54% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 998 | 1231 | 21% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 987 | 65% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1146 | 1124 | 53% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1344 | 16% | 2011-10-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1167 | 31% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 965 | 57% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1106.9 has a 43.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).