BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1074 | 59% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 920 | 964 | 44% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1036 | 986 | 57% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1089 | 53% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1154 | 986 | 72% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 952 | 59% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1023.5 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).