The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1168 | 40% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1220 | 1137 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1220 | 20% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.6 vs 1094.4 has a 50.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).