For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-05-27 | | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2019-01-25 | | Won |
| 862 | 1147 | 16% | 2015-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2014-08-19 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2014-03-31 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.2 vs 1060 has a 46.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).