For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-25 | Won |
| 862 | 1117 | 19% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2014-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1053 has a 46.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).