The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1159 | 37% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
979 | 961 | 53% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
973 | 934 | 56% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
1007 | 1051 | 44% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
1055 | 1104 | 43% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
917 | 1068 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
1125 | 1114 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
1158 | 1285 | 32% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
1172 | 970 | 76% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1034 | 953 | 61% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
958 | 748 | 77% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.1 vs 1050.5 has a 46.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).