The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1256 | 28% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1013 | 879 | 68% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1141 | 29% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 929 | 1217 | 16% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1066 | 53% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 902 | 933 | 46% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1068.1 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).