The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 883 | 70% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 1032 | 1149 | 34% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1066 | 53% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1049 | 56% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1086 | 71% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 994 | 55% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1141 | 957 | 74% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1054.6 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).