The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1220 | 35% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1012 | 891 | 67% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1161 | 27% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 930 | 1218 | 16% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1066 | 43% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1042 | 76% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1208 | 967 | 80% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1067.9 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).