The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 1292 | 31% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 999 | 891 | 65% | 2025-03-22 | | Won |
| 981 | 1197 | 22% | 2025-03-15 | | Won |
| 938 | 1218 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-02-06 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2017-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 994 | 59% | 2015-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1076.5 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).