The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (31 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 46
Defender wins (British): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1176 | 19% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1013 | 39% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 974 | 900 | 60% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1042 | 46% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1183 | 54% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 837 | 63% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1092 | 65% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 1132 | 49% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 949 | 61% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1092 | 879 | 77% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1123 | 1115 | 51% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 1117 | 55% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1057 | 48% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 741 | 84% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1077 | 61% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 863 | 72% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1067 | 46% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1333 | 917 | 92% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 1081 | 1208 | 32% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 1127 | 36% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2013-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1020.4 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).