The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (32 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 46
Defender wins (British): 48
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2025-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2025-02-06 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-11-04 | D | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-09-30 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2023-01-22 | | Won |
| 1030 | 947 | 62% | 2023-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 888 | 66% | 2021-12-07 | | Tied |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2020-11-08 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1155 | 46% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1051 | 48% | 2020-03-25 | | Won |
| 1156 | 734 | 92% | 2019-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1262 | 18% | 2018-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 864 | 79% | 2018-05-27 | | Won |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-05-31 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2017-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 862 | 89% | 2016-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1240 | 20% | 2015-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2014-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2014-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2013-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2013-09-01 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2013-08-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2013-04-29 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1015.8 has a 56.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).