It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (American): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1041 | 52% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1182 | 1188 | 49% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1182 | 37% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1186 | 1104 | 62% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1081 | 43% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1123 | 42% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 1045 | 47% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1256 | 21% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 932 | 58% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 981 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 1075 | 28% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1075 | 31% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1043.2 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).