Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 996 | 45% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 756 | 81% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2016-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1206 | 27% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1030.1 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).