Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2021-02-27 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2021-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2021-01-29 | | Won |
| 983 | 692 | 84% | 2017-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2016-10-31 | | Won |
| 1343 | 964 | 90% | 2014-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-06-23 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1020.8 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).