Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 995 | 43% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1186 | 1264 | 39% | 2021-01-29 | Won |
| 984 | 756 | 79% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-10-31 | Won |
| 1343 | 965 | 90% | 2014-09-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1174 | 25% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1042.4 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).