Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (18 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1046 | 54% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1008 | 53% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1151 | 23% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 980 | 68% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 953 | 81% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 953 | 72% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1072 | 57% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1196 | 47% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1079 | 56% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1073 | 37% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1095.6 vs 1042 has a 57.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).