Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (19 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1043 | 61% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 959 | 51% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1121 | 941 | 74% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 1131 | 35% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 1023 | 65% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1140 | 1042 | 64% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1127 | 1080 | 57% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1040 | 40% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1046.8 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).