Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (16 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1085 | 48% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 1089 | 1008 | 61% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 1154 | 994 | 72% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1187 | 43% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1081 | 58% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1121 | 1014 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 966 | 1140 | 27% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1101.7 vs 1041.3 has a 58.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).