Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (14 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1038 | 934 | 65% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
1137 | 1006 | 68% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
1284 | 890 | 91% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
1103 | 855 | 81% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
1284 | 979 | 85% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1092 | 983 | 65% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
1125 | 1014 | 65% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
983 | 1188 | 24% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
1188 | 983 | 76% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
1127 | 1049 | 61% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
1082 | 1188 | 35% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
1082 | 1071 | 52% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
1135 | 1018 | 66% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
1005 | 1055 | 43% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1118.9 vs 1015.2 has a 64.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).