All Along the Merderet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 907 | 51% | 2023-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-04-04 | | Won |
| 974 | 988 | 48% | 2021-03-28 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1070 | 78% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1040 | 81% | 2020-11-13 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 1022 | 914 | 65% | 2015-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2013-08-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1002.3 has a 60.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).