Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (25 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 868 | 81% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1027 | 1046 | 47% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1010 | 44% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 994 | 1018 | 47% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1264 | 22% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1110 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 956 | 995 | 44% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1009 | 1225 | 22% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1307 | 1038 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 835 | 1264 | 8% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 930 | 889 | 56% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1154 | 831 | 87% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 889 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 929 | 68% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 831 | 1068 | 20% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1136 | 37% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1036 | 53% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1044.4 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).