Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (27 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1254 | 1268 | 48% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 868 | 80% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1025 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 1016 | 44% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 964 | 1110 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1242 | 24% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1019 | 49% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1320 | 1057 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 846 | 1242 | 9% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 930 | 873 | 58% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1163 | 738 | 92% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 890 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 983 | 54% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 738 | 1051 | 14% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1079 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1079 | 1115 | 45% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1042.3 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).