Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (30 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1145 | 28% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1220 | 25% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1027 | 1093 | 41% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 868 | 78% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 984 | 1115 | 32% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 966 | 986 | 47% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1058 | 48% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1245 | 24% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 997 | 999 | 50% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1044 | 59% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1306 | 1057 | 81% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 886 | 1245 | 11% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1182 | 40% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 855 | 59% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1026 | 846 | 74% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1125 | 706 | 92% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 890 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1146 | 929 | 78% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 988 | 1263 | 17% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 983 | 49% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 706 | 1073 | 11% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1031 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1109 | 49% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1146 | 38% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1045 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).