Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (11 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 952 | 61% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 955 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1131 | 35% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1159 | 60% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 946 | 63% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1129 | 1118 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 997 has a 57.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).