Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (9 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1043 | 1213 | 27% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1248 | 24% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1111 | 42% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1046.8 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).