Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1089 | 49% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1116 | 1196 | 39% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1223 | 29% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 1036 | 51% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 1136 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1145 | 38% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1110.1 vs 1089.5 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).