Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1087 | 49% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1208 | 30% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 1226 | 28% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1079 | 1028 | 57% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1109 | 1127 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1149 | 37% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1106.9 vs 1091.3 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).