Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (19 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 42
Defender wins (German): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 883 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1089 | 49% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 971 | 63% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 966 | 828 | 69% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1141 | 29% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 966 | 60% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1209 | 1316 | 35% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1128 | 44% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1207 | 1086 | 67% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1137 | 1121 | 52% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 1084 | 40% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1102 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1116 | 47% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1099.5 vs 1087.4 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).