Splatter Spray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Italian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1069 | 43% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2019-07-23 | Won |
| 963 | 1159 | 24% | 2017-06-11 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2016-11-24 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1029 | 75% | 2014-10-24 | Won |
| 955 | 1335 | 10% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
| 827 | 1039 | 23% | 2014-04-13 | Lost |
| 903 | 1101 | 24% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 906 | 884 | 53% | 2013-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.5 vs 1103.7 has a 34.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).