Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (19 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
959 | 1132 | 27% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
976 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
853 | 1019 | 28% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1310 | 1026 | 84% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1007 | 952 | 58% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
1189 | 962 | 79% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
1077 | 1098 | 47% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
974 | 1099 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
1151 | 1121 | 54% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
1121 | 1058 | 59% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1132 | 1058 | 60% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
988 | 1140 | 29% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1089 | 1106 | 48% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1036 | 963 | 60% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
990 | 1117 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1079.2 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).