Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1046 | 54% | 2025-11-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1220 | 51% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1131 | 36% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1128 | 30% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 851 | 968 | 34% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1061 | 72% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
| 1092 | 983 | 65% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 884 | 69% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1178 | 1229 | 43% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1101 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 974 | 1099 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1127 | 55% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1126 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1223 | 1060 | 72% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1128 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 1129 | 28% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 960 | 60% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 991 | 1036 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1086.8 has a 47.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).